South Africa’s retail future with Daniel Silke and the SACSC
Supermarket.co.za - Mar 1st 2017, 09:48
Daniel Silke is regarded as one of the South Africa’s leading political analysts and futurists. With over 15 years’ experience as a political analyst and futurist, it comes as no surprise that he is often interviewed to share his thoughts and opinions on the country’s leading television news and radio talk shows.
The South African Council of Shopping Centres (SACSC) invited Silke to speak to South African retailers and property management teams at their KwaZulu-Natal networking breakfast about his insights for the 2017 economic year. Silke mentioned to those in attendance at Durban’s Country Club that South Africa's near-term future remains in the balance.
“This is a year in which South Africa will either emerge from the bonds that have held us back, or it will be a year that will continue to provide concern and even possibly set the scene for a fairly combustible near future in advance of the 2019 general election,” Silke said.
Silke also added that South African retail was changing and retailers need to ‘buck up’ and accommodate these methods of retail. “Previous warnings and predictions about retail going online are becoming true. The use of technology across the board, not just in retail, in every aspect of society is changing the bricks and mortar offerings of retailers. In South Africa, we are behind in terms of internet connectivity. When we do embrace this technological wave like the United States has, we will see how dramatic technology affects every aspect of business in the country. The shopping centre and retail industries in SA need to ‘buck up’ and realise that internet-based retail such as Amazon is going to enter the country in a very big way. Retailers need to tailor their products for the future,” said Silke.
Speaking about the recent Budget Speech, Silke said that Gordhan’s speech didn’t offer anything stimulatory for the economy with regards to retailers. “Many were hoping for leniency, unfortunately, more money is going to be taken from not only the wealthy but from all citizens earning within the tax bracket. Middle-class income earners will also see their contributions to SARS upped this year simply because the tax brackets have not kept up the pace against rising inflation we call this ‘bracket creep’. This means subtly that the middle-income earners will contribute, if not more, than the ‘super rich’. This will certainly have a dampening effect with regards to their retail spend. The good news is that there was no VAT increase this year if there was, then I would argue that it would be a very poor year for retail in South Africa”, he said.
Silke concluded by saying that the country needs to become investor-friendly again if we want to improve the economy and decrease unemployment. “We need both domestic and international investors. Domestic investors are ‘sitting on piles of cash’ and are reluctant to invest that cash because they are uncertain about the policy framework within the country. We have also seen a reduction in foreign investment over the past 18 months or so. With regards to making the country viable for investors, I get concerned about the reliance on the State to get things right. The history of the country mentions that the State is in charge of making South Africa equitable. I do not have a problem with that. I have a problem with the fact that State-owned enterprises and the like have proven to be inefficient and they have proven to sap money out of the pockets of the South African taxpayer. We need a de-regulation on State-owned enterprises. We need to make these enterprises efficient in order to free up spend and curb the current government’s ‘heavy hand’ with regards to spending and make South Africa investor-friendly again” he concluded.
These quarterly networking breakfasts hosted by the SACSC take place in Cape Town, Durban and Johannesburg and are attended by retail, property and industry heavyweights. SACSC CEO Amanda Stops said she was thrilled to have Daniel Silke as a guest speaker for the first event of the year for KwaZulu-Natal. “Silke is a renowned economist and futurist and his insights about 2017 will be invaluable to local retailers. These types of events give everyone in the retail and shopping centre industry a chance to network and improve our industry,” she added.
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