Advertise with fastmoving.co.za
 
 

Which way will food prices go in 2012?

Oct 27th 2011, 08:19

27.10.2011

Which way will food prices go in 2012?**

Food price inflation is a fickle and difficult to track; it’s influenced by a complex web of interdependent factors that are subject to varying degrees of volatility, which rarely benefits consumers.

At best, prices remain constant for a while before a spark of activity causes a malicious alignment that conspires to drive prices upward, with aggression. This sums up the irregular pattern of food prices – they’re very quick to rise but, slow to retreat.

While most consumers believe that food prices keep escalating by about 35%, we know that’s not true.

South Africa’s two biggest FMCG retailers reported food price inflation of between 0% and 1.3% in their 2011 annual reports. Pick n Pay, for the six months to August believe that figure to be close to 3%. Low food price inflation is a major contributor toward keeping the overall CPI rate lower than anticipated, and may well help to stimulate an interest rate cut.

Retailers like inflation to be mild and consistent, the moment prices start bouncing around or shooting for the sky, consumers react and trading becomes difficult. Shoprite has proven that keeping prices down quickly attracts new customers. When there is price deflation, trading becomes even more difficult and a lean supply chain becomes critical.

What we do know is that consumers are strained at the moment and any sharp upward movement of prices will have them reacting quite aggressively.

For various reasons 2012 will be a tough year for most South African retailers. One can only hope that they will be aided by a moderate and stable inflation of food prices.

Craig Ballantyne

Please feel free to make comments or raise new issues by
        
What's happening at fastmoving.co.za?
new products · brand activity · liqour · jobs · events
Update your brand catalogue
We’re busy updating catalogues for all our listed brands. If your brand has a catalogue on fastmoving.co.za and you want to find out more about updating it, please email our editor ).

Do you blog?
We’ve recently launched blogs on our portal and we’re inviting anybody interested to blog about their area of expertise in the retail and FMCG industry. We already have blogs from the likes of Jason Kempen of Fountainhead design and Melody Maker of Acceleration. If you would like to join them and blog on fastmoving, please contact us to .

Jobs in FMCG and retail
Are you looking to advertise a job in retail or a position in an FMCG company? If you’re currently a client of fastmoving (i.e. your service page or brand catalogue is currently listed on our portal), we have the facility to list retail and FMCG job ads. If you’re not currently a client, but are interested in listing a job, please contact us .

Economic News
Retail sales surge but analysts warn slowdown in SA likely to persist
Growth in retail sales has surged unexpectedly and inflation is rising faster than forecast, the latest Statistics SA data show, but the news does not alter the view that the Reserve Bank is to keep interest rates steady for as long as possible.
New Products
A new addition to Aquartz flavoured water range
Aquartz is also introducing a sparkling new addition to its flavoured water range. This new mango variant compliments the existing Aquartz flavoured water range and is available in a 500 ml bottle
Nestle’s new easy-peel ice-cream is a first in South Africa
Nestlé is excited to introduce the Krazy Monkey as the first ice-cream that can be peeled in South Africa. This banana-shaped treat, which is the newest addition to the Nestlé Impulse range, is covered in an edible grape-flavoured jelly, which consumers can peel away to enjoy the soft vanilla ice-cream filling inside.
Living made easy with Pasta Grande
Building on the success of our Pasta Grande range of pastas, we continue to expand the range with the introduction of 4 more bulk variants and 3 new exciting 500g shapes. These new additions to the range will stimulate interest and further growth in the pasta market.
Hygiene Toothbrushes
A.J. North, the only toothbrush manufacturer in South Africa has launched a completely new range of Oral Hygiene toothbrushes - 100% designed and proudly made in South Africa - right down to the last bristle!
Big news from Aquartz
Aquartz is going big on flavuor and refreshment. Three of Aquartz delicious variants are now available in 1.5-litre bottles. The variants available in 1.5-litre bottles are Cranberry Rasberry, Lemon Lime and Peach Passion and compliment the pure still and sparkling waters already available in 1.5-litre packs.
Ceres’ new mystical flavour bursts with goodness
Ceres fruit juice brings you a new, rich flavour, Full Moon Harvest, part of the 100% juice range. Full Moon Harvest - the classic superior quality of Ceres and the mystical flavour of the valley from which it springs.
I&J Beefers in 2 New Variants - Sweet Chilli and Mild Curry
I&J Beefers are now available in two new variants, Sweet Chilli and Mild Curry. Available in the frozen food aisle of your favourite retail outlet, in 800g packs.
Blink Mints
Blink Mints, delivering a high quality mint product, sugar free, low in calories, healthy and superbly flavoured.
Supplier News
SABMiller SA lager volumes flat, up 3% globally
SABMiller, one of the world's largest brewers with interests and distribution agreements across six continents, on Wednesday noted flat lager volumes in its native market South Africa in the first half of its 2012 financial year, impacted by weaker consumer demand. Overall however, the group said it sold 3% more beer in the first half.
· East African Breweries delays sale
· Oceana predicts higher earnings
· Further success for Nampak's Infini bottle
· Nestle Expects to Beat Sales Target in 2011
· Coca-Cola Profit Gains 8.1% as Pricing Rises
· Tetra Pak designs new eco-friendly aseptic beverage carton
· Kraft cooks up plan to boost cocoa sustainability
International News
Global label demand ‘to reach 51.6 billion sqm by 2015’
World demand for labels is expected to rise by over five percent per year to 51.6 billion square meters in 2015, valued at 110 billion dollars, according to a new study from Cleveland-based industry research firm, The Freedonia Group. ‘World Labels’ presents the following trends:
· WalMart Reviewing China Stores on Pork Probe
· German manufacturing sector shrinks in October
· Jim Beam Meeting Skinnygirl Invites $11 Billion Liquor Takeover: Real M&A
· Global coffee production rises in 2010-11 coffee year: ICO
· Bumper wheat supplies soothe food prices
· Sugar Shortages Extend Across Europe as Global Glut Expands: Commodities
· Coca-Cola invests $16.7m for Cappy juice in Egypt
· Global coalition launches African cocoa initiative
· Groomed SP15 range rolls out with Rieke dispenser
Brand Activity
Clorets breathes fresh breath through Billads
Clorets’ new Cherry Menthol chewing gum achieved a 73% brand recall rate during its consumer engaging Billads sampling campaign, which was organised in restaurants and bistros by Nine Mile Media targeting a potential 1 450 000 consumers over a two month period.
South Africa’s positioning in the world olive oil market (Vezuvio)
The South African olive industry is mainly concentrated in the Western Cape. South Africa's consumption of olive oil per capita is approximately 80ml per annum whereas major olive oil countries (Greece, Spain, and Italy) range between 12-24L per individual. So why is it that South Africans are so far behind some of the global trends when the country is producing some of the best Olive oil in the World?
Featured Brands
Westfalia Avocado Oils
Westfalia Avocado Oil is made only from choice quality, locally grown Hass avocados. Westfalia’s range of Plain (both regular and organic), avocado oil, as well as natural Garlic, Lemon, Chilli, Basil and Mediterranean (herbs) infused avocado oils, offers a healthy and delicious option for everyday food preparation.
Willow Creek
Here at Willow Creek Olive Estate we celebrate all that is ‘olive’, reveling in our quest to produce world class delicacies from this multi-faceted fruit.
Liquor News
Cooking and caring with Two Oceans
Some of the Cape’s food, drinks and lifestyle writers met earlier this month (October) to take up the Cooking and Caring challenge at a local cookery school in Cape Town, issued by the Two Oceans wine brand
Summer tastings at The House of J.C. Le Roux now open 7 days a week
Bring on summer with a tantalising sensory experience at The House of J.C. Le Roux, open seven days a week for cellar tours, tastings and hearty, country style breakfast and lunch.
Featured Retail Services
Accsys
Accsys is an award winning South African software company specialising in people management solutions and offers a 100% integrated people management system comprising payroll, human resources, time and attendance, access control, employee self service and state of the art biometric devices.
Digipos store solutions
DigiPoS Store Solutions is the first choice for many retailers across the globe. Operating across 16 divisions, DigiPoS delivers innovative technology to retailers and point of service businesses. We develop award winning hardware, software and professional services
Retail Services News
Thirsty Thoughts: Buttermilk and Maas
Buttermilk and maas are quantified collectively as part of BMI’s annual research into the dairy industry. BMI Research has detailed volume, value and trend information on the category after more than a decade’s worth of analysis of the industry.
First South African Fairtrade week encourages consumers to taste the change - On 14 - 20 November 2011
In just a few short weeks Fairtrade Label South Africa (FLSA) will be celebrating our very first Fairtrade Week in South Africa, a campaign aimed at raising awareness about Fairtrade among the local public. Fairtrade Weeks slogan, ‘Taste the Change’
Whose Responsibility is it?*
FMCG companies spend vast amounts of money publishing and promoting their customer care toll free numbers. Furthermore consumers become disillusioned when they call certain call centres and are shunted from one agent to another, when agents cannot assist the client with their product queries. Consumers often get frustrated with brands try and do ‘cool things’, but can't handle a basic enquiry.
FMCG Jobs
Responsible Pharmacists (Needed for Kwazulu Natal, Port Elizabeth and Cape Town)
This role requires a qualified pharmacist who has an understanding of the MCC requirements for scheduled medicines (schedule 1,2 and 3). this position would possibly suit a junior pharmacist with some retail experience alternatively possibly a retired person who still wants to make a contribution
Costing Manager (Senior Level) Gauteng
A leading international company, is offering an opportunity to join a highly successful team tasked with the strategic and operational management of 14 countries within the African continent. We are looking to appoint a seasoned Costing Manager who will be called a Pricing and Business Intelligence Manager. To be considered for this role you must have experience in a service related field such as logistics, courier, car rental etc and be a commercially astute costing expert.
Operations Director : FMCG Distribution
A large FMCG multinational, expanding at a rapid rate and servicing the West African emerging commodity market, is looking for an experienced Operations Director. This is a newly created position. The incumbent will be responsible for the strategic distribution strategy across 3 business units.
Recruitement Services
Strategy Recruitment Marketing
Strategy Recruitment Marketing is focused on providing tailor-made, alternative recruitment solutions that are based on out-the-box strategic and creative thinking, detailed processes, and keeping abreast of the latest recruitment practices and technology through understanding each client´s critical success factors, to produce impactful results cost-effectively.
Nicolene Di Bartolo
Leadership is action... not position! Business Leaders engage our services to identify individuals who will elevate their organisations to new heights. It is our mission to source exceptional talent in mid-to executive management levels across all job categories. We support these extraordinary individuals in furthering their careers
Talented Selections
Talented Selections is committed to identifying highly talented, exceptional individuals who have built solid careers at a middle and senior management level.
Events
 
SOCAP SA 2011 Conference
When: 3 Nov 2011 – 4 Nov 2011
New dairy experience come to the Cape
When: 4 Nov 2011 – 5 Nov 2011
Venue: Sandringham (next to the N1 between Cape Town and Paarl)
Food Safety Conference
When: 21 Nov 2011– 24 Nov 2011
Venue: The Crowne Plaza, Johannesburg
Global Sources: China Sourcing Fairs
When: 30 Nov 2011 – 2 Dec 2011
Venue: Gallagher Convention Centre, Midrand, Johannesburg

· Global Sources, Baby & Children's Products China Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Hardware & Building Materials China Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Garments and Textiles China Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Gifts & Premiums China Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Home Products China Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Solar & Energy Saving Products China Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Electronics China Sourcing Sourcing Fair
· Global Sources, Fashion Accessories China Sourcing Fair
Networking expo for the logistics and supply chain management industry
When: 22 Mar 2012 – 23 March 2012
Venue: Gallagher Convention Centre, Midrand, Johannesburg
Cards & Payments Solutions - even bigger and better for 2012
When: 13 Mar 2011 – 14 Oct 2011
Venue: Earls Court, South Hall, London
 
To advertise:
Cape Town
Vivienne Ayerst

Tel: or
Johannesburg
Tina Baney

Tel: or
Email:
For editorial:
Wendy Smith

Tel:
Email: